In 2016, Sanders carried 52 percent of Democrats but 73 percent of independents, who made up 40 percent of the primary electorate.
What we do not know is whether the independents who show up in 2020 will be those Sanders voters from 2016 or instead be more conservative voters who have voted Republican in the past.
ADADSure, as the Times put it, “New Hampshire is as close to a must-win state as Mr. Sanders has,” but the same is true of Warren.
If she does not win either Iowa or New Hampshire, where will she be able to win?
New Hampshire voters will be the last people to acknowledge Iowa voters will affect their decisions, but realistically, a strong finish by, say, Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.), or a weak one from one of the top four contenders, may change the pool of viable candidates from which voters will make their final choices.

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